Property Atlas

County hazard profile

Arlington, VA

Virginia · pop. 238,619 · FIPS 51013

Relatively Low
FEMA risk rating · RATING
Heat Wave
dominant hazard
$38M
modeled expected annual loss/yr

Expected annual loss · all 3,232 U.S. counties

among the lowest nationally

national median $15M/yr Arlington $38M

A real dollar distribution: most counties sit far below a handful of high-exposure ones. A FEMA model of annual loss, not a record of disasters.

FEMA national percentile scores

FEMA/CDC score each county 0–100 against all others — the score is the national rank (RATING). Higher risk and vulnerability are worse; higher resilience is better.

FEMA risk indexRelatively Low 66.79/100
national median ~50 near the national middle (67th percentile)
Social vulnerabilityVery Low 10.62/100
national median ~50 among the lowest nationally
Community resilienceRelatively High 64.38/100
national median ~50 near the national middle (64th percentile)

Recorded · NFIP flood claims RECORDED

Realized flood losses in Arlington

The National Flood Insurance Program has paid 215 flood-insurance claims totaling $1.6M in Arlington since 1978. The costliest year was 2019 ($1.1M paid).

Flood-insurance dollars paid by year of loss

1978: $7,767 paid 1979: $2,731 paid 1980: $1,277 paid 1982: $945 paid 1983: $1,226 paid 1984: $0 paid 1985: $15,823 paid 1987: $3,738 paid 1989: $10,101 paid 1996: $0 paid 1998: $0 paid 2001: $0 paid 2003: $38,169 paid 2005: $0 paid 2006: $188,996 paid 2007: $0 paid 2008: $5,397 paid 2009: $0 paid 2010: $3,428 paid 2011: $64,987 paid 2012: $1,857 paid 2013: $3,330 paid 2014: $6,617 paid 2015: $6,178 paid 2016: $0 paid 2017: $16,754 paid 2018: $38,945 paid 2019: $1,139,625 paid 2020: $27,485 paid 2021: $32,151 paid 2024: $0 paid 2025: $0 paid 2026: $944 paid 2019 · $1.1M 1978 2026
$1.6M
total paid
$7,528
average claim
$174K
largest single claim
19%
in high-risk flood zones (A/V)

RECORDED — these are actual paid NFIP claims (a redacted census from OpenFEMA), not a model. They are the realized counterpart to the FEMA risk score above: one is what happened and got paid, the other is what a model predicts.

Scope: these are flood-insurance claims, so they undercount flooding where owners were uninsured — read this as "what NFIP paid here," not "every flood." County-level totals, not a per-property or per-address verdict. Verify a specific address and buy coverage at FloodSmart.gov; the underlying data is OpenFEMA NFIP Redacted Claims.

What these figures mean

  • RATING — the FEMA risk score, expected loss, social vulnerability, and resilience are FEMA/CDC models, not records of disasters that happened. The 0–100 scores are already national percentiles.
  • MEASURED — population is a recorded census figure.
  • COMPUTED — the county's rank within the dollar-loss distribution is our placement over the 3,232 counties.
  • CONTEXT — the note below is framing, not a measurement.

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What this is — and is not

This is FEMA/CDC modeled hazard exposure for Arlington, VA and where it ranks among U.S. counties. It is not a verdict on whether Arlington is a good or bad place to live — hazard exposure is not place quality, and a county can't opt out of its geography. It is not a per-property or per-address risk assessment, not a prediction of any specific disaster, and not insurance advice. For site-specific risk use a per-property assessment; for the underlying model see FEMA National Risk Index.