Property Atlas

County hazard profile

Lincoln, AR

Arkansas · pop. 12,931 · FIPS 05079

Very Low
FEMA risk rating · RATING
Drought
dominant hazard
$7M
modeled expected annual loss/yr

Expected annual loss · all 3,232 U.S. counties

among the lowest nationally

national median $15M/yr Lincoln $7M

A real dollar distribution: most counties sit far below a handful of high-exposure ones. A FEMA model of annual loss, not a record of disasters.

FEMA national percentile scores

FEMA/CDC score each county 0–100 against all others — the score is the national rank (RATING). Higher risk and vulnerability are worse; higher resilience is better.

FEMA risk indexVery Low 29.77/100
national median ~50 lower than most counties (30th percentile)
Social vulnerabilityVery High 80.47/100
national median ~50 higher than 80% of counties
Community resilienceVery Low 16.73/100
national median ~50 among the lowest nationally

Recorded · NFIP flood claims RECORDED

Realized flood losses in Lincoln

The National Flood Insurance Program has paid 29 flood-insurance claims totaling $701K in Lincoln since 1979. The costliest year was 2019 ($311K paid).

Flood-insurance dollars paid by year of loss

1979: $7,487 paid 1983: $0 paid 1985: $5,211 paid 1987: $3,092 paid 1989: $15,594 paid 1997: $30,074 paid 2008: $30,000 paid 2009: $44,798 paid 2010: $0 paid 2011: $20,656 paid 2018: $20,365 paid 2019: $310,939 paid 2021: $91,021 paid 2023: $121,728 paid 2019 · $311K 1979 2023
$701K
total paid
$24,171
average claim
$179K
largest single claim
76%
in high-risk flood zones (A/V)

RECORDED — these are actual paid NFIP claims (a redacted census from OpenFEMA), not a model. They are the realized counterpart to the FEMA risk score above: one is what happened and got paid, the other is what a model predicts.

Scope: these are flood-insurance claims, so they undercount flooding where owners were uninsured — read this as "what NFIP paid here," not "every flood." County-level totals, not a per-property or per-address verdict. Verify a specific address and buy coverage at FloodSmart.gov; the underlying data is OpenFEMA NFIP Redacted Claims.

What these figures mean

  • RATING — the FEMA risk score, expected loss, social vulnerability, and resilience are FEMA/CDC models, not records of disasters that happened. The 0–100 scores are already national percentiles.
  • MEASURED — population is a recorded census figure.
  • COMPUTED — the county's rank within the dollar-loss distribution is our placement over the 3,232 counties.
  • CONTEXT — the note below is framing, not a measurement.

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What this is — and is not

This is FEMA/CDC modeled hazard exposure for Lincoln, AR and where it ranks among U.S. counties. It is not a verdict on whether Lincoln is a good or bad place to live — hazard exposure is not place quality, and a county can't opt out of its geography. It is not a per-property or per-address risk assessment, not a prediction of any specific disaster, and not insurance advice. For site-specific risk use a per-property assessment; for the underlying model see FEMA National Risk Index.