{
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  "@id": "https://property-atlas.ryanjhunter.workers.dev/property/states/as.jsonld",
  "@type": "schema:Dataset",
  "name": "Atlas Commons research objects — natural-hazard risk profile for AS",
  "description": "AS's natural-hazard risk from public federal sources, with each figure's epistemic status labeled: recorded facts (NOAA storm events, property damage, and deaths for the 2025 storm year) are observations of what occurred; the cross-state rank is derived (an in-house ranking over the recorded single-year totals); rating figures (FEMA expected annual loss, FEMA NRI composite score, social vulnerability and community resilience indices) are models that authorities compute — not direct measurements; the two-lens and boundary notes are interpretation — state-level aggregates, not a verdict on any specific property. Sources: FEMA National Risk Index, NOAA Storm Events Database. CC0.",
  "license": "https://creativecommons.org/publicdomain/zero/1.0/",
  "isPartOf": "https://property-atlas.ryanjhunter.workers.dev/",
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  "seeAlso": "https://agenticu.ryanjhunter.workers.dev/commons/the-research-object",
  "about": {
    "@type": "schema:Place",
    "name": "AS",
    "identifier": "AS"
  },
  "claims": [
    {
      "@id": "https://property-atlas.ryanjhunter.workers.dev/property/states/as/expected-annual-loss",
      "@type": "schema:Claim",
      "name": "FEMA EXPECTED annual loss from natural hazards in AS is $64,991,003 (a modeled expectation)",
      "text": "The FEMA National Risk Index models an EXPECTED annual loss of $64,991,003 from all natural hazards for AS (3 counties, 2026). An annualized expectation of future loss, not a record.",
      "claimType": "derived_measure",
      "reviewStatus": "current",
      "commercialInfluence": false,
      "epistemicStatus": {
        "occurred": false,
        "supported": true,
        "adjudged": true,
        "operative": true
      },
      "grounding": {
        "groundingType": "DerivedMeasure",
        "source": "FEMA National Risk Index",
        "sourceUrl": "https://hazards.fema.gov/nri/",
        "value": "$64,991,003",
        "adjudicator": {
          "name": "FEMA National Risk Index",
          "url": "https://hazards.fema.gov/nri/"
        }
      },
      "falsifier": "occurred=FALSE: a MODELED figure — an authority's computed quantity ESTIMATING an independent/latent value (an index or annualized expectation), REPRODUCIBLE from its disclosed inputs, NOT a record of an event. adjudged=TRUE because FEMA National Risk Index (an external authority) computes and publishes it. The grounding promises \"reproduce this from the inputs\" — so a categorical authority VERDICT that is NOT reproducible (a star rating, a risk class) is a 'determination', not 'modeled'. Superseded by the next release."
    },
    {
      "@id": "https://property-atlas.ryanjhunter.workers.dev/property/states/as/storm-property-damage",
      "@type": "schema:Claim",
      "name": "RECORDED storm property damage in AS totals $5,638,000",
      "text": "NOAA Storm Events records $5,638,000 in property damage across 84 storm events that occurred in AS.",
      "claimType": "official_fact",
      "reviewStatus": "current",
      "commercialInfluence": false,
      "epistemicStatus": {
        "occurred": true,
        "supported": true,
        "adjudged": true,
        "operative": true
      },
      "grounding": {
        "groundingType": "SourceCitation",
        "source": "NOAA Storm Events Database",
        "sourceUrl": "https://www.ncdc.noaa.gov/stormevents/",
        "value": "$5,638,000",
        "adjudicator": {
          "name": "NOAA Storm Events Database",
          "url": "https://www.ncdc.noaa.gov/stormevents/"
        }
      },
      "falsifier": "A RECORD of measured/reported events (occurred=true) from NOAA Storm Events Database; superseded when NOAA Storm Events Database publishes its next release."
    },
    {
      "@id": "https://property-atlas.ryanjhunter.workers.dev/property/states/as/boundary",
      "@type": "schema:Claim",
      "name": "What this risk profile is — and is NOT — for AS (the epistemic boundary)",
      "text": "Every figure above is an official state-level figure from a named public authority (measured or rating, as labeled). They do NOT advise on a specific property's insurability, value, or whether to buy or insure it. For a property-level answer, use the FEMA Map Service Center and a licensed insurance producer.",
      "claimType": "interpretation",
      "reviewStatus": "current",
      "commercialInfluence": false,
      "epistemicStatus": {
        "occurred": false,
        "supported": true,
        "adjudged": false,
        "operative": true
      },
      "grounding": {
        "groundingType": "Interpretation",
        "source": "Property Atlas framing (over the FEMA/NOAA figures above)",
        "sourceUrl": "https://property-atlas.ryanjhunter.workers.dev/",
        "value": "state-level figures; route to FEMA MSC + a licensed producer for property-level decisions",
        "adjudicator": null
      },
      "falsifier": "occurred=FALSE (a framing, not an event) and adjudged=FALSE (the atlas's boundary, not an authority's verdict) — the LOWEST-warrant claim here. The measured figures (NOAA storm loss) and the rating figures (FEMA expected loss, NRI score) above are each grounded; this is the only context note, and the four-status says so."
    }
  ],
  "hasPart": [
    {
      "@type": "schema:ItemList",
      "name": "AS — every risk indicator (typed)",
      "numberOfItems": 7,
      "itemListElement": [
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          "position": 1,
          "item": {
            "indicator": "Expected annual loss (USD/yr)",
            "value": 64991003,
            "warrant": "MODELED",
            "source": "FEMA NRI"
          }
        },
        {
          "@type": "schema:ListItem",
          "position": 2,
          "item": {
            "indicator": "Counties in aggregate",
            "value": 3,
            "warrant": "—",
            "source": "FEMA NRI"
          }
        },
        {
          "@type": "schema:ListItem",
          "position": 3,
          "item": {
            "indicator": "Storm property damage (USD)",
            "value": 5638000,
            "warrant": "RECORDED",
            "source": "NOAA Storm Events"
          }
        },
        {
          "@type": "schema:ListItem",
          "position": 4,
          "item": {
            "indicator": "Storm events recorded",
            "value": 84,
            "warrant": "RECORDED",
            "source": "NOAA Storm Events"
          }
        },
        {
          "@type": "schema:ListItem",
          "position": 5,
          "item": {
            "indicator": "Storm direct deaths",
            "value": 3,
            "warrant": "RECORDED",
            "source": "NOAA Storm Events"
          }
        },
        {
          "@type": "schema:ListItem",
          "position": 6,
          "item": {
            "indicator": "Mitigation dollars obligated (USD)",
            "value": 3354750,
            "warrant": "RECORDED",
            "source": "FEMA BRIC/HMGP"
          }
        },
        {
          "@type": "schema:ListItem",
          "position": 7,
          "item": {
            "indicator": "Mitigation sub-applications",
            "value": 75,
            "warrant": "RECORDED",
            "source": "FEMA BRIC/HMGP"
          }
        }
      ]
    }
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}